Here is a break down of Colorado 10 days out from the election:
Current Status: Leaning Obama
Current Polling: The average of current polling data shows Obama leading McCain 50.4% to 45.0% with a +/-5.4 spread
Previous Election Results: 2004-Republican (George W. Bush), 2000-Republican (George W. Bush), 1996-Republican (Bob Dole), 1992-Democrat (Bill Clinton)
Key Issues: Economy, Energy Independence, Environment
Other Influential Races on the Ticket: Mark Udall (D) leading 48.3% v. Bob Schaffer (R) with 39% up for an open Republican Seat in the Senate
Analysis: Although McCain has history on his side, the youth, Hispanic, and female vote are all on Obama's side for this election. The Denver Post reports that McCain and Obama are currently head-to-head in rural areas of the state with McCain slightly leading Obama 46% to 45%. In addition, "According to early voting statistics posted by Colorado's Secretary of State on Tuesday, 96,104 mail-in ballots were returned by Democrats. Republicans turned in 99,306. When looking at the number of voters who showed up at early voting centers, 9,173 were Democrats and 6,309 were Republicans" (Channel 9 News). However, this week McCain cut his ad spending in the state by 46%. Taking all of the current polling into consideration, at this point I think Colorado is bouncing between too close to call and leaning Obama.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
0 comments:
Post a Comment